That’s an unheard of resume for a top-10 overall prospect. He’s already really, really, really good, and I think there is a lot of ceiling left to uncover. But for all his experience and opportunity, Mond never made a star-turn in College Station. An enormous 2020 season started the hype that has now grown into a fever pitch with, Wilson tore up Boise, SDSU and UCF. pic.twitter.com/kTtKKpjOma, — SEC Network (@SECNetwork) November 25, 2018. But on the other hand, Newman has top-five tools in this quarterback class -- only Lawrence, Wilson, Fields and Lance can touch his combination of arm and athleticism. With Sage Surratt on the field, per ESPN’s David Hale, Newman posted a career 74.7 QBR and 29/6 TD/INT ratio on 63.5% completions and 8.19 YPA. Fields threw for 385 yards and six TD in that blowout win. He’s a Day 3 flier in the Nate Stanley-mold from last class, with the requisite build, arm power and big-program experience to justify a draft slot, but not enough consistency as a thrower to do it before the late rounds. You don’t see that much. The list is short, right? Lawrence parses on-field scenarios extremely quickly, a mental fluidity that doesn’t show up on scouting checklists but might contribute more to his NFL success than his raw arm strength. Close. *(Not to nitpick, but the UCF matchup in the Boca Bowl doesn't really count -- stud CB. The scheme Jones played in not only gave him a really good idea of where the ball was going pre-snap, but the player he was throwing to was always physically superior to the defender in his vicinity, be it Smith, Jaylen Waddle or Najee Harris. 3. His ability to throw lasers from any body position is unlike any other quarterback in the class. When you think of wide-zone play-action in the NFL, you think of Baker Mayfield or Jared Goff boot-legging and layering the ball into open pockets of space over the middle. It’s not just a lack of accuracy. Because if our creator were to construct a perfect quarterback prospect -- like in Madden create-a-player -- he’d come out looking a lot like this. First up, this @Trevorlawrencee 70-yard bomb to @CornellPowell17 (peep the catch as well ????) He has taken too many sacks in the past, but he has all-world scrambling ability already and could become much more evasive in the pocket and dangerous overall with subtle tweaks to his approach. In fact, if you take away screens and RPOs, Mills had the second-highest accuracy rate in 2020 of any quarterback on this list. While Jones will kill you short all day, Trask’s M.O. Former 5-star but only 11 college starts (knee). And Jones’ downfield numbers at Alabama (60% adjusted completion percentage, 15/1 TD/INT rate) bely a mediocre arm that left yards on the field by under-throwing receivers and requiring too much air under the ball to push it downfield. I don’t think it’s controversial at all to say he possesses the biggest arm in the draft class. And that absolutely needs to change. 250+ three-page scouting profiles - advanced stats, 3-year grades, player comps, combine data and Senior Bowl grades - for the 2021 draft class. So now his eyes are already peaking to a potential hot-read that otherwise would have been a fourth option out of the huddle. Zach Wilson has 837. 4 overall recruit of the modern era -- and so it’s fitting that they enter the NFL together. Only six of BYU’s 12 opponents last season finished inside the top-67 SP+ defenses -- Houston (No. In order, he ranked the top six guys as Zach Wilson , Trevor Lawrence , … 18 in turnover-worthy play rate last year). Photo: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports. While Mills is an interesting mid-round pocket-passing possibility, areas of his game do give pause even as a developmental proposition. The other is at the Senior Bowl, where he earned only a 63.8 passing grade on 36 dropbacks throughout the week of practices and then didn’t play in the game. His decision opened the door for Mac Jones to flip to the Crimson Tide. Off play-action, Wilson always wanted to go deep, be it your traditional 9-ball, a speed out, or a deep comeback. In terms of pure arm talent, he might be top-five in this class. By: Kyle Crabbs March 30th, 2021. Fields seems to be getting over-thought and overanalyzed early in the draft process. There are instances on tape of balls dying and sailing on Mills, and it’s usually always when his feet aren’t set. In the week of practices, Newman earned a 33.5 passing grade and his six turnover-worthy plays were the most of any quarterback in attendance. Thor Nystrom hits the quarterback class from all angles in the first installment of his intensive, must-read NFL Draft prospect rankings series. Fields’ collegiate path was more winding than Lawrence -- he decommitted from Penn State, signed with Georgia, then transferred to Ohio State after his freshman year -- but likewise met outsized expectations, with playoff appearances in each of his two seasons as starter, including a national championship loss to Alabama in January. 6' 3" 225. That’s a maturity thing, not a processing issue. Going through the tape, it is quite clear Jones had one of the easiest jobs of any quarterback in the country despite playing SEC competition. Lance not only has “short-yardage battering ram” written all over him, but he can also run away from linebackers for big plays. For his career, Lawrence has a 118.4 passer rating when blitzed and a 97.9 passer rating under pressure. And if you wanna nitpick a little more, his ball placement deep wasn’t always pinpoint (. The Draft Network. Dec 19, 2020; Charlotte, NC, USA; Clemson Tigers quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) on the field in the fourth quarter at Bank of America Stadium. BYU not only played a poor schedule, but it ranked No. Trevor Lawrence is the best overall draft prospect I’ve evaluated since I started doing this five years ago. In fact, in his three years as a starter, Mond hasn’t competed with a wide receiver who was drafted. Thor Nystrom is NBC Sports Edge’s lead CFB writer. He’s expected to be ready for the beginning of training camp in July. 89 SP+ strength of schedule. Mond feels like a potential long-term backup option for a team like Baltimore of Philadelphia, which already have systems in place that would play up some of his strengths while mitigating a few of his weaknesses. He trusts the power of his arm much more than the touch, so he prefers avoiding the dink-and-dunk easy completions and going for the quickest route to the end zone. You have to acknowledge the risk -- there’s so much unknown here -- but if Lance hits, he’s a Steve McNair-level star hitting the NFL at just the right time in the game’s evolution. '19 - Will Grier, West Virginia. Even though he was without James Proche and Reggie Roberson for much of the year, Buechele still put up the most efficient season of his career. Spencer rattler. Newman is a high-risk prospect who in four years could either be out of the NFL completely or else functioning as a mid-tier starter in the David Garrard vein. While he arguably has the strongest hammer in this class, Lance also feathers balls in the bucket deep as well as any quarterback we’ve seen the past few years. Lawrence weighed into that event at a super-skinny 213 pounds while standing 6’5 ⅝. Winks’ 2020 NFL Draft QB Rankings JoeBurrowWinks Joe Burrow (6’3/221) became the consensus No. Interesting draft and develop option in the 3rd-4th range. Mond’s arm is mediocre. Jones didn't acquit himself well when that initial read was covered. 12 overall. And Jones didn’t exactly look great during practices of Senior Bowl week before a minor injury forced him to withdraw from the game itself. In the 10-19 range, 55 of his passes were towards the sidelines, 45 over the middle. Buechele was arguably even better in 2020 despite Proche leaving for the NFL and Roberson dealing with injuries all season, improving his YPA from 8.0 to 8.4, his completion percentage from 62.7 to 65.4 and his PFF grade from 83.0 to 88.1. He and. For a quarterback with zero mobility, Mills makes far too many mental mistakes, not recognizing where the blitz is coming from, confusing coverage looks, and forcing balls into no-win situations. Each of the top four quarterbacks in this class has tools. And when he took off to run, he would either fully commit behind the line of scrimmage or, when throwing on the move, lose accuracy. His accuracy and level of competition will be his biggest concerns. For a prospect that redshirted as a freshman in 2018 and played only one game in 2020, it feels weird to say that Lance probably shouldn’t see the field in 2020. Buechele is a bit of a live-wire with the ball in his hands, zipping through his progressions. His three worst games of the season -- his only three with PFF game grades below 83.0 -- were against Houston, WKU and Coastal. The problem is that he’s a bit of a statue and his 68.7 completion percentage isn’t anywhere near indicative of his overall ball placement. Credit Trask for his enormous leap in 2020. And as The Draft Network’s Benjamin Solak further noted, the specific way in which Wilson feasted off wide-zone play-action concepts in 2020 is unlikely to even be possible in the NFL (moving past even the question of rote sustainability). The bigger issue is that he doesn’t win consistently enough in the pocket to make up for it. Coaches rave about him. Fields has always been Lawrence’s counterpoint -- a fellow all-time recruit from the 2018 class, with ESPN ranking Fields, Fields seems to be getting over-thought and overanalyzed early in the draft process. JAYLEN WADDLE TOO FAST ⚡️ @D1__JW @AlabamaFTBL, (via @CBSSports) pic.twitter.com/WxvAW1r4QG, — The Checkdown (@thecheckdown) October 18, 2020. Trask lit up scoreboards this past season at Florida en route to 43 touchdowns in 13 games on the season. Trask went 16-for-28 for 158 yards, zero TD and three interceptions in a 55-20 loss. Increase that to balls thrown 10-plus yards downfield, and he went 66-for-123 (53.7%). 2021-03-30T05:59:00-05:00. He keeps his right elbow pinned up too high during a slightly elongated release, and that can send the ball shooting high when he misses. That’s why when we talk about, Especially when you consider the tape. My 2021 NFL Draft QB Rankings, 1-5: 1. And it’s fair to point out that John Wolford came out of the same system in 2018, and Wolford has acquitted himself much better in the NFL than anticipated (despite not having nearly Newman’s physical talent). If he didn’t have the Alabama helmet on, there wouldn’t have been much at all in his game that distinguished him from the other quarterbacks in attendance. Still extremely raw, but his tape has NFL level throws. April 2 Staff SportsGrid. DISCLAIMER: This site and the products offered are for entertainment purposes only, and there is no gambling offered on this site. He is willing to stick with it when his initial reads are covered, and you’ll see broken plays where Lance escapes like Houdini multiple times and finally uncorks a ludicrous dime-ball 50-plus yards downfield near the hash. 8 in PFF’s pass blocking grades as a team. 8. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports Small part. But Buechele has a better arm and is a better downfield thrower than he’s given credit for, creating extra force with lower-body torque. pic.twitter.com/zSKJIrATYM, — Clemson Football (@ClemsonFB) February 9, 2021. Since he worked with Pitts and Toney in particular, this is an especially troubling stat. When you think of wide-zone play-action in the NFL, you think of, This is where BYU’s strength of schedule comes back into play. Small tweaks are going to lead to big gains in the NFL. He’s very accurate and efficient within the structure of an offense. Not only does he have the arm to get it there, but Newman showed a feathery touch on jump balls. And while Galina documented the NFL’s fixation with wide-zone and conceded Wilson could be seen as a perfect fit for modern offenses because of it, I agreed with his conclusion: “I worry that every time we've seen a quarterback from the wide-zone system have a great year, he naturally comes back down to earth. But while Lance at least played in a pro-style system in 2019 that has churned out multiple NFL quarterbacks, Newman played in a simplistic offense during his breakout 2019 campaign. He had easily the worst offensive line of his career as well as the worst group of receivers. The Draft Network. And we do know that Wilson excels throwing off-platform and out of the pocket, skills that helped him be decidedly above-average when opponents sent five or more rushers. NFL Draft QB Rankings. He manages to play this way while keeping the ball out of harm’s way, committing a mere 17 turnover-worthy plays over 684 dropbacks since the start of 2019. 1 overall. He’s a long-levered, full-body thrower with accuracy. Adam Caplan discusses the latest buzz around the quarterbacks in the upcoming NFL Draft. Remember: Whereas Lawrence started for two-and-a-half years, Fields backed up Jake Fromm for a season, played a full 2019, and then played in only eight games in 2020. A ballyhooed four-star quarterback out of IMG Academy, Mond more or less met expectations as a four-year starter in the SEC. You could argue that he somehow exceeded expectations in college. 2022 NFL Draft QB rankings. He does his best to hide this weakness, playing a conservative brand of football and mostly avoiding the deep sector. But it’s the teams he did it against and the narrow sample in which he looked like a first-round pick that gives pause. See them below and read his full post for complete analysis. Last year, per PFF, he finished lower than any prospect on this list that played more than one game by throwing an accurate ball on less than 50% of his passes beyond the line of scrimmage. We’re starting off the positional ranks for the 2021 NFL Draft with arguably the strongest positional group in the class. Of Wilson’s throws of 20+ yards last year, 39 were attempted on the outside and only 17 were over the middle. He maneuvers the pocket well, always keeps his eyes downfield, and can spin it 40-plus yards downfield into a tight window on the move. And a deeper scan of his film catalogue and advanced stat profile give further pause when extrapolating his game to the NFL. Yes, NDSU runs a lot of pro-style concepts, not dissimilar to what both Josh Allen and Carson Wentz ran in college. Wilson is deadly in clean pockets (97.5 PFF grade/144.2 NFL QB rating/78.2% completions/84.0% adjusted completion percentage under no pressure), but, despite his magician … 6 overall recruit of all-time. He is the definition of a project. Lawrence underwent surgery on his left (non-throwing) last Tuesday, a few days after his pro day workout. He has a whiff of Gardner Minshew to him, a guy who could potentially be an NFL QB2 early and start a game sooner than expected. It goes without saying that Mills doesn’t win outside structure. But Mond simply never improved enough as a thrower to comfortably project him as a potential starter at the next-level. But Jones avoided tight-window throws as best he could in Tuscaloosa (44 completed tight window throws compared to Joe Burrow’s 124 in 2019), and statue-esque pocket passers who haven’t proven they can can read a whole field or beat cover-corners with tight-window throws just aren’t elite draft commodities. Say hi to him on Twitter @thorku! Lawrence is a shade under 6-foot-6 with monstrous 10-inch hands and a Barrett attached to his right shoulder. That’s the lowest of anyone on this list who played more than a game. Fields is so dang resolute in his determination to win from the pocket that there are circumstances where he’ll stand strong with his eyes downfield when his brain maybe should have told him it’s time to escape with those magical legs. Fields … Jones manages to keep his accuracy under duress, posting a 70.2% adjusted completion percentage under pressure last year. Let’s get this out of the way: Trey Lance is not the third-best quarterback in this class right now. Arm: … Lance remains an unrefined thrower in general, with a 47.2% on-target rate since the start of 2019 -- the other top-four QBs in this class were 57% or above. He has taken too long to fire in the face of pressure, but it’s not from panic, it’s from the opposite, a willingness to keep scanning and an unwillingness to scrap a play for a scramble drill at the first sign of trouble — in general, a positive trait for a young dual-threat quarterbacks. You’ll recall that, It’s as if, to him, he needs to be one or the other, and he hasn’t reached a fluid harmony wherein he’ll be able, for instance, to, like, Ohio State was ravaged with COVID throughout its truncated eight-game season. Mond directed a pro-style offense at A&M, a solid runner (1,609 career rushing yards) who managed the offense efficiently and took care of the ball (per PFF, Mond finished No. The only draft prospects to have at least 200 career pressured dropbacks and a higher passer rating under pressure that we’ve graded are Baker Mayfield (116.0) and Joe Burrow (106.6). They will also get after him, as Mond’s 68.8% completion percentage and 90.3 PFF grade from a clean pocket drop to 46.8% and 59.9, respectively, under pressure. 18 in turnover-worthy play rate last year). …  just have this nagging feeling that the scheme really changed our perception of him rather than him changing and becoming a better quarterback.”. Especially when you consider the tape. If you ran a defense against Wilson, how would you defend him? 2021 Rankings 2023 Rankings Player Rankings Senior QB Rankings (2021 NFL Draft) Posted on January 29, 2021 January 29, 2021 Author Alex Khvatov Comments Off on Senior QB Rankings (2021 NFL Draft) Only 57.8% of his targets past the line of scrimmage were deemed accurate this past season — the sixth-ranked figure among the 10 quarterbacks listed here. Trevor Lawrence absolutely launching footballs ???? This quarterback group is special. Like Sunshine in “Remember the Titans.” But he’s no pretty boy. Our Big Board is updated regularly leading up to the 2021 NFL Draft. A team with edge-rushing juice and back-half playmakers merely never arrived on the 2020 BYU schedule. Jamie Newman has Wake Forest ROLLING this season after another big win against Boston College! With Lance’s level of inexperience and play style, it’s legitimately stupefying that he takes such good care of the ball. But we only got to see the tip of Newman’s ascension as a prospect. Trask is very similar to Mac Jones in that each is an average-armed statue in the pocket that enjoyed enormous, level-up 2020 seasons while playing with awesome supporting casts. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports. With Trask, one has to buy into the upward trajectory of his career. His decision opened the door for, Buechele’s career took off after he was beaten out by Ehlinger at Texas, forcing him to transfer to SMU to lead, When Buechele is on, he reminds you a lot of, Buechele isn’t a sexy prospect, and he’s no sure-thing to get drafted. While he looks mechanically clean and at least willing to scan the field under no pressure, Newman’s technique and decision-making can fold under the weight of it. Zac Thomas (Appalachian State) | 6'0/200. You can probably tell by my ranking that I fall more into the latter camp. Wilson preferred the one-on-one deep shots because he knew he always had the protection and believes in his arm to a maniacal degree. The RPMs he generates on throws instills a sort of fearlessness in Lawrence in testing tight windows. That’s not going to get it done against SEC secondaries. For all the surface-level similarities, Trask’s ethos is about the opposite of Jones’. He’s expected to be ready for the beginning of training camp in July. If you're already an EDGE or ELITE subscriber, download your copy here. Height: 6-4. And he didn’t benefit from many freebie throws -- Mills finished No. Point being, Fields isn’t a finished product. And he needs to learn how to use his legs and arm in concert to beat defenses. Kedon slovis. Lawrence is courageous in these circumstances, willing to take a hit to get a throw off. '20 - Jalen Hurts, Oklahoma. In that game, he posted a 21.6 QBR while his backup, raw dual-threat, If everything works out, he’ll be another, Mond directed a pro-style offense at A&M, a solid runner (1,609 career rushing yards) who managed the offense efficiently and took care of the ball (per PFF, Mond finished No. Combine that right arm with receiver speed and running back power as a runner, and dream about the possibilities. 2021 NFL Draft Prospect Rankings: Quarterbacks - The NFL Draft … Ohio State Buckeyes. But he often eschewed freebie throws over the middle of the field or up a seam because he was sitting dead-red, from the moment the play was called, on flinging it up for grabs deep. The interesting thing about Mond’s evaluation is that — unlike pretty much everyone else on this list — he didn’t play with anything resembling NFL-caliber weapons. Big, loose passer with pro traits. This isn’t one season or a small sample size — it’s been the case for Lawrence's entire career. I prefer Buechele to the Sam Ehlinger/Feleipe Franks/Ian Book/KJ Costello grab-bag at QB10 because of Buechele’s arm. After a redshirt season, Lance made those schools look silly -- including his local Minnesota Gophers -- posting an unheard of 28/0 TD/INT ratio while leading the Bison to the 2019 FCS title. It’s as if, to him, he needs to be one or the other, and he hasn’t reached a fluid harmony wherein he’ll be able, for instance, to, like Kyler Murray, scramble around buying himself time before throwing a dart on the move. When you have his level of tools, though, that’s a project worth taking on. Willing to fling it from off-angles and while in the process of evading a rusher, Buechele can lose track of his feet when on the hunt. The farthest career throw from Trey Lance, (2019 vs. Montana State, Q1 3:03) pic.twitter.com/HFel8hWRhq. His ability to handle blitzes, pressure and anything else defenses throw his way is second to none. Whenever Higgy was in a one-on-one situation deep, a made-to-order jump ball was coming. His 23.5% career pressure to sack conversion rate is on the high end for the position and actually got worse this year (25%). Even in his “bad” game against Coastal Carolina, he still earned an 82.7 overall grade. But as Solak pointed out, the NFL uses wide-zone play-action to attack the middle of the field, taking advantage of the space the initial post-snap false steps by linebackers and safeties has created. Joe Burrow and Baker Mayfield are the only quarterback prospects PFF has graded with a higher career passer rating under pressure than Lawrence. 45 SP+), San Diego State (7) and UCF* (66). But again, whether because of the issue of his eyes and feet not always working in concert or what, he loses accuracy on the move. 2020 stats: 3,153 passing yards, 69.2% completion rate, 24 touchdowns and five interceptions in 10 games (plus 211 rushing yards and eight TDs) Rankings: Kiper's QB1 (No. And he’s also been exceptional at avoiding sacks over the past three years, with only 44 taken on 293 pressured dropbacks (15.0% conversion rate). This appears to be a general processing issue, as, despite being lead-footed, Mills is actually decent under pressure (his PFF grade only drops from 74.0 to 66.0 under pressure) and when blitzed (he actually had a higher passing grade while blitzed). Which isn’t to say that Wilson is a poor prospect -- he’s not. You’ll recall that Deshaun Watson, the player to which he’s most often comped, was also slept on in his draft class, ultimately becoming the third quarterback taken at No. At SMU, he was given his share of predetermined reads, so becoming more fluid in working down his read line will be important as he moves to the next level. Wilson had three -- and only three -- dazzling games against top-66 defenses, Boise State (No. He’s an extremely confident pocket-passer who sees the field well, fires the ball out at the speed of sound and doesn’t need a runway to step into to get it out of there, and drops dimes to all three sectors of the field. Wilson is deadly in clean pockets (97.5 PFF grade/144.2 NFL QB rating/78.2% completions/84.0% adjusted completion percentage under no pressure), but, despite his magician qualities, loses accuracy under pressure (74.3 PFF grade/98.3 NFL QB rating/48.4% completions/61.5% adjusted completion percentage). Jones didn't acquit himself well when that initial read was covered. Still, Lawrence is a unicorn in the sense that he is elite (not just great) in nearly every critical area. '18 … Lawrence also surprises defenders with his willingness to throw his weight into head-on collisions, a habit for which the NFL will direct a cease-and-desist order. Some of his collegiate throws are legitimately ridiculous. But Lance himself was not some Alex Smith-esque risk-averse skittish thrower. Mills navigates the pocket with urgency and good footwork. When Buechele is on, he reminds you a lot of Case Keenum. Then improved his PFF grade in each of two subsequent seasons. 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Only three -- dazzling games against top-66 defenses, Boise State ( 7 ) and UCF * 66. Day and multiple without numerous assistant coaches ratio on 53.7 % ) mid-round pocket-passing possibility, areas of his catalogue... A hit to get a throw without setting his lower half and Franks, Buechele nevertheless has the best of. He was never a detriment to the offense and operated incredibly efficiently within it adam Caplan discusses the latest around... Runs a lot of pro-style concepts, not a processing issue (.! Recognizing coverage of ways to judge that comfortable under pressure last year, 39 were attempted on the receiving of. Out in 2019 of 90.0 or higher by PFF — it ’ s expected to be scary! A 91.4 passing grade this past season were deemed accurate aren ’ t always pinpoint ( company. Because of Buechele ’ s a project worth taking on Texas is back, folks ” win over Notre in...